The "Science" of Wall Street

In this moment of passing blame for the financial woes,the housing market and mortgage lending this decade.
there is one place that the average American hasAll were situations where a runaway market fueled
failed to look- Wall Street. We have been trained toitself on unrealistic expectations based on the belief
believe that Wall Street and its pundits are the factualthat the conditions which existed at the time could and
bellwethers of the current state of the financial statewould go on forever. Forgotten was the fact that the
of America. Every step they make is scrutinized andcurrent conditions of the time were based on nothing
explained away in the media by some report, statistic,but conjecture and whim.
or projection, carrying on the illusion that their actionsToday we are seeing the flip side of that same coin.
are driven by some type of objective rationale. ThisWe have supposedly been in a recession since
illusion is the foundation for the financial servicesDecember of 2007, yet the market continued on
industry, creating the confidence that allows people toreaching record levels by ignoring the reality all around
feel comfortable handing over their life's savings to ait. Now it steadfastly refuses to look at anything but
complete stranger to handle according to his whimsthe negative, choosing to overlook any positive
and beliefs.numbers coming out of any venue and keeping on its
However, the objectivity and rational decision makingdoom and gloom tack.
of Wall Street pundits, movers, and shakers is just anA perfect example of this is GE. GE is a blue chip
illusion. In reality, Wall Street is driven by rumor,stock which is heavily diversified, meaning it has
innuendo, fear, and an optimism created by greed.interests in many different areas. GE Financial is a
There are no certainties until after the fact. The rest issubstantial division in its portfolio and was a strong
nothing more than a well informed guessing game, onlymoney maker for them, but it was not their whole
sometimes the information is not accurate or isoperation, only a part. The corporation and its other
sketchy at best. It's a crap shoot, with winners anddivisions are still going strong; they have good liquidity
losers changing places every day. It's Las Vegasand plenty of capital to work with, despite having to
without the blinding lights, sirens, and show girls. Yet weswallow some losses from its finance division. They
allow this place and its players to tell us whether weare unlike a lot of the players in the financial services
really are secure and in good fiscal shape. We allowand banking arena in that they do hold interests outside
their whims to determine whether or not we shouldthe financial realm. However, despite the fact that they
hope for the future or despair. We place our fiscalhave gone out of their way to publicize their overall
self-worth in their hands on a daily basis.health, they have seen their stock take a huge decline
People made a mass shift in their transportationover the market average because they have a
methods based on the price of gas, which was drivenfinancial services division. Market speculators have
by the market. We all watched the trading price of lightdecided to take a dim view of any group that makes
sweet crude go up to ridiculously high numbers. Foreignmoney from lending or dealing in financial services, no
governments in oil producing countries tracked theirmatter what the true overall economic health of the
future spending to those high numbers. Yet why didcompany is. That line of thinking is as irrational as the
people on the whole not look at why that price wasbelief that the good times will last forever.
so high and how realistic that price was? If they had,I think its time that Wall Street and the financial
and there were a lot of people in the financial sectorservices industry look at how they do business and
trying to get the word out, they would see that theexamine how they let unsubstantiated beliefs and
price increase was due heavily in part to the work oferroneous information determine how they act. In the
speculators. These were people betting on the factrush to be the first one to spot and capitalize on new
that oil prices would stay high because people couldtrends in the market, on the whole they do not take
and would pay them and demand would not decrease.the time or effort to do proper due diligence. This
They believed we would buy oil at any price,leaves Wall Street operators in the position of looking
convinced that it would only continue to go up in price.like day trippers to Atlantic City, sitting and putting in
And for a while, they were right... until the bubblecoin after coin on the hope that what they heard and
caused by irrational optimism spurred by greed burst,believe will come true, that they will hit the jackpot and
bringing oil prices down to a realistic and sustainablemake become rich. Until Wall Street wises up,
range. Is oil ridiculously cheap? No, it is about where itAmericans need to take the market with a grain of
should be given the current world economic state. Thesalt and attach an appropriate amount of authority to
anomaly is that the price was able to be hiked to theits opinions.
level it reached by speculators.Would you take financial advice for a little old lady who
There are examples of this all throughout history- thespends hours sitting in front of a slot machine, or a guy
Dutch tulip bulb craze of the 1630's, margin stockwho hangs out at the track betting on horses who he
purchasing in the 20's, gold and platinum in the late 70's,believes are "sure things"? I didn't think so...
junk bonds in the 80's, tech stocks craze in the 90's,