The Science of Prediction

Most of the catastrophes in this world are causedwitnessed terrorists coming from the sea on to India
either by nature or by people. Many of them whenprior to the attack on Mumbai could have easily used
they occur have severe consequences. For examplehis mobile phone to upload information via the Internet
Tsunami or Earth quakes have a severe effect. Butsaying that he is witnessing some entry of persons
they can affect people, wealth and other assets. Ifinto the land and that which seems to be suspicious.
planned attacks on Infra by criminals and TerroristsThis way the intelligence agencies would have had a
can be stopped before they are attacked, then webetter chance of intercepting the terrorists before they
are looking at a situation of saving the world of a lot ofparked in the 5 star hotel.
problems. Now the question is we have some amountOne thing is for sure is that in order for our prediction
of prediction intelligence where the law makers getsystem to be completely reliable we must track all
prior intelligence on planned attacks on infrastructure.possible events that occur in our Universe, both man
But the science itself is not yet fully reliable or fullymade as well as natural. And then establishing
developed for us to be confident that a computer maycorrelation between possible causes and effects of
be able to warn us of some imminent danger.the same will reveal that there may be some special
What does it take to build a completely reliablecauses such as an imminent flood that causes thief's
prediction system? It takes us to track a large numberto attack in a specific pattern. We are a long way to
of simultaneous events that take place. Also causego, but still the science of fool proof prediction is
has to be correlated to effect. A policeman whosomething that can be achieved.